Sunday, September 14, 2008

A close race

The Newsweek poll, which has tended to favor Democrats in the past and has shown Barack Obama ahead nationally for months now, today shows the race is a deadlock, 46% for Obama, 46% for McCain.

Republicans shouldn't be overconfident. For one thing, it's likely that McCain, to win, will have to flip a state that John Kerry won in 2004. Colorado and New Hampshire have been seen by GOP strategists as their most likely targets; or, perhaps Michigan. But at best, McCain and Obama are in dead heats in those states; or Obama has continued to lead in them. So it's a tough race for everyone...