Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Prediction: Michigan primary

The experts and pollsters are divided right now on who they think will win the Republican primary there.

My guess: Romney has (again) poured in $$ for heavy advertising; he does have Michigan roots; he's been able to make a fairly effective line of attack against John McCain, for his pessimism concerning Michigan's economy; and I have the sense that Romney's been gaining in various polls for the past few days. So: I predict Mitt Romney wins a narrow victory in Michigan. Which would mean: 3 Republican contests so far; 3 different winners.