Thursday, June 12, 2008

State of the race

Hmmm---interesting: on some of the online political discussion lists I monitor, many of my liberal acquaintances seem to believe that this election is in the bag for Barack Obama, that he is a sure winner.

Well. So examine the latest general election polls. Today they indicate that, at best, Obama holds perhaps a 5 or 6 point lead right now over John McCain. Few will be more critical of the McCain campaign than I. Still, when it comes to winning campaigns, he's certainly done it in the past. And Obama has hardly looked like a world-beater lately; look at all the defeats he suffered in the last few months at the hands of Hillary Clinton, plus his fumble-prone handling of the problem with his vice-presidential vetter.

This race is far from over. And if John McCain can truly get conservatives excited about his candidacy (by, for example, renouncing his McCain-Feingold campaign finance reform stance) it could even be further up for grabs.