Saturday, November 24, 2007

NFL Picks: week 12

Home teams in CAPS as usual.
I'm 1-1 so far, was 10-5-1 last week.

CINCINNATI 1.5 over Tennessee. PICK: TITANS. Has Cincy won, or covered, in a game like this all season?

CLEVELAND 3 over Houston. PICK: BROWNS. Their firepower, especially at home, to get it done for them again.

KANSAS CITY 5 over Oakland. PICK: CHIEFS. This is tricky, with the Chiefs having only 1 healthy RB. But Croyle should be able to move the ball, and the Chiefs D to stuff the Raiders shaky attack.

Seattle 3 over ST. LOUIS. PICK: SEAHAWKS. This is a game that a playoff team like the Seahawks (and they still look like one to me), with Hasselbeck, usually wins.

NY GIANTS 7 over Minnesota. PICK: GIANTS. No Adrian Peterson and the Giants are at home, coming off a big road win. You have to go with them.

TAMPA BAY 3 over Washington. PICK: BUCS. Tampa Bay is 4-1 vs the spread at home; their defense is tough.

New Orleans 2.5 over CAROLINA. PICK: SAINTS. Both teams hard to figure. But the Panthers are 0-4 vs the spread at home; and they remain unsettled at QB. The Saints meanwhile have Drew Brees.

JACKSONVILLE 8 over Buffalo. PICK: JAGS. A bit iffy---8 pts is a lot. But the Jags seem to be coming on; David Garrard will play; and Marshawn Lynch won't.

ARIZONA 10 over San Francisco. PICK: CARDINALS. The Niners are bad, and have to start Trent Dilfer. The Cardinals seem to be rounding into shape with the experience of Kurt Warner leading them.

CHICAGO 2 over Denver. PICK: BEARS. This one's a tossup--we all know Grossman's failings. But Jay Cutler and the Broncos have struggled on the road. The Bears to surprise and squeak one out here at home.

SAN DIEGO 8.5 over Baltimore. PICK: CHARGERS. They've played much better at home. Ravens are unsettled on offense.

NEW ENGLAND 24 over Philadelphia. PICK: PATRIOTS. Of course. How can anyone pick against them???

PITTSBURGH 16 over Miami. PICK: STEELERS. That's a lot of points, but the Steelers will be motivated after last week's flop vs the Jets, and John Beck for the Dolphins hasn't seen a defense like this--and on the road, yet.