Saturday, October 27, 2007

NFL Picks: week 8

Let's see if I can do better. Week 1 was my best---I've been kinda downhill from there.
(HOME TEAM IS IN CAPS).

BEARS 5 over Lions. PICK: Chicago. I'm still not a believer in the Lions on the road (see their game vs the Redskins of a couple weeks ago.)

Steelers 3.5 over BENGALS. PICK: PITTSBURGH. Kinda hard to be a Bengals believer based on their overall performance this year, home or away.

TITANS 7 over Raiders. PICK: TENNESSEE. I gather Vince Young will play; and they're at home.

Browns 3 over RAMS. PICK: CLEVELAND. I've been picking the Rams to rebound over and over; and they never have. The Browns have exceeded expectations this year.

Giants 9.5 over Dolphins (in London). PICK: NEW YORK. That's a lot of points, but the Dolphins have been pretty horrible and have shown no signs of improvement.

Eagles 1 over VIKINGS. PICK: MINNESOTA. They're at home. I've picked Philly several times, and they've bombed. And have shown little improvement--while the Vikings have Adrian Peterson, and played Dallas tough on the road.

Colts 7 over PANTHERS. PICK: INDY. The Colts covered on the road last week in a hostile atmosphere. I'm not a David Carr believer (he will start for Carolina). Only thing for Indy to watch for is the trap game scenario--the Pats loom next week.

JETS 3 over Bills. PICK: NEW YORK. Pennington will play; Buffalo meanwhile has the handicap of a young QB (Trent Edwards) playing on the road--always tough.

CHARGERS 9 over Texans. PICK: SAN DIEGO. Schaub is questionable for Houston. The game will be played in SD; the fires are going out; my guess is the Chargers will retain focus.

BUCS 3.5 over Jaguars. PICK: TAMPA BAY. No Garrard for the Jags. Bucs have a tough defense. It's in Tampa. All signs point--Bucs.

PATRIOTS 16 over Redskins. PICK: NEW ENGLAND. 16 pts is a lot. But how can you pick against the Pats? They've covered every single time this year, 7-0 vs the spread. The Redskins will try to run it; the Pats will expect it.

Saints 2 over 49ERS. Pick: NEW ORLEANS. Tough one--both teams 2-4; Alex Smith returns to the Niners. But: Saints appear to be coming on; Smith may be rusty; in any case Drew Brees is a big edge for the Saints.

BRONCOS 3 over Packers. PICK: DENVER. Shaky--the Pack is 4-1 vs the spread, Broncos only 1-5. But Denver won a big game last week--momentum. This too is at home for them. The Pack still with little running game. That can especially hurt on the road.