Saturday, October 6, 2007

NFL picks: week 5

Let's see if I can do better than last week, when I was only 5-9.

Tennessee (home) by 8 over Atlanta. PICK: TITANS. They play well at home; Joey Harrington is not a good road QB.

Kansas City (home) 2 over Jacksonville. Pick: CHIEFS. They're better at home, and they have some momentum.

St. Louis (home) 3.5 over Arizona. Pick: CARDINALS. The Rams have been horrible, and now Marc Bulger is hurting.

New England (home) 16.5 over Cleveland. Pick: BROWNS. No, not to win; but 16 and 1/2 is a heck of a lot to cover. Derek Anderson has the Browns' offense humming; I think they can keep this a 10 to 14 pt game.

New Orleans (home) 3 over Carolina. Pick: SAINTS. Mainly because David Carr will have to start again for the Panthers.

Giants (home) 3.5 over the Jets. Pick: GIANTS. Their defense is improving; the Jets continue to struggle offensively.

Pittsburgh (home) 6 over Seattle. Pick: STEELERS. The Steelers have been a good home team.

Washington (home) 3.5 over Detroit. Pick: REDSKINS. The Redskins' D will shut the Lions down; they have good corners.

Houston (home) 5 over Miami. Pick: TEXANS. They play well at home; Miami has yet to play well anywhere.

Indianapolis (home) 9.5 over Tampa Bay. Pick: BUCS. The Colts will win this game, but their injuries, plus the Bucs' improvement, will make this a close call.

San Diego at Denver--EVEN. Pick: BRONCOS. They're at home, and what have the Chargers shown so far this year? Little.

San Francisco (home) 3 over Baltimore. Pick: RAVENS. Mainly because Trent Dilfer, who looked horrible last week, has to start at QB for the Niners.

Green Bay (home) 3.5 over Chicago. Pick: PACKERS. They have momentum, the Bears are banged up in the secondary, and it doesn't appear Brian Griese is the answer.

Dallas (away) 10 over Buffalo (home). Pick: COWBOYS. Buffalo will play hard and keep it close for a half. But only for a half; then Romo and co. break out.