I was 7-9 last week. I'm 0-1 this week already. Gulp! But here we go...
Dallas 10.5 over CAROLINA. PICK: COWBOYS. Yes, Romo is a bit beat up; but the key injury tonight: no Julius Peppers for the Panthers. Dallas with too much firepower.
NY Giants 2.5 over BUFFALO. PICK: BILLS. They're 9-5 vs the spread, and at home in tough elements.
Green Bay 8.5 over CHICAGO. PICK: BEARS. Chicago to keep it close in cold conditions in a rivalry game.
Cleveland 3 over CINCINNATI. PICK: BROWNS. They need the game more; the Bengals just have never gained consistency.
DETROIT 4.5 over Kansas City. PICK: LIONS. Just a gut feeling--the Lions will play hard, and better at home, because they still respect Rod Marinelli.
INDIANAPOLIS 7 over Houston. PICK: COLTS. They're not resting a bunch of guys (save for those injured), and will play hard at home.
NEW ORLEANS 3 over Philadelphia. PICK: SAINTS. Drew Brees is hot (though the Eagles played well vs Romo last week), and don't forget--this is the Eagles' second straight tough road game.
JACKSONVILLE 13 over Oakland. PICK: JAGS. Just seems like a bad choice to go against these guys at home, given how they've played lately.
ARIZONA 10 over Atlanta. PICK: CARDINALS. The Falcons are beaten down; they want the season to be over.
Tampa Bay 5.5 over SAN FRANCISCO. PICK: BUCS. I see the Bucs winning by 7 or 8, and shutting down the Niners' inexperienced QB.
TENNESSEE 10 over NY Jets. PICK: TITANS. Vince Young played well last week; I see the Titans winning by, say, 10.
NEW ENGLAND 22 over Miami. PICK: PATRIOTS. I just can't see the Pats letting up or coming out flat, especially against these guys, the last franchise to go unbeaten.
SEATTLE 11 over Baltimore. PICK: SEAHAWKS. They're at home, the Ravens' hamburger offense is turning into chopped liver, and Boller--who suffered a concussion last week--will play anyway.
MINNESOTA 6.5 over Washington. PICK: REDSKINS. I think the Vikings will eke out a win at the end, but look for the Redskins to keep the game close with pressure on Jackson, 8 men in the box, and forced turnovers.
SAN DIEGO 8.5 over Denver. PICK: CHARGERS. They're on the upswing, and Denver is out of the playoffs and having a hard time stopping the run.