I was 9-6 last week.
Tonight's game:
Cincinnati 9 over SAN FRANCISCO. PICK: BENGALS. All reports indicate that the Niners are pretty beaten down, including emotionally. Meanwhile Carson Palmer looks good.
CLEVELAND 5.5 over Buffalo. PICK: BROWNS. Both teams have been very good against the spread. The Bills have really over-achieved. But I can't go against the Browns at home.
Tennessee 3.5 over KANSAS CITY. PICK: TITANS. They'll run it, and stuff the Chief's run game, just enough.
Green Bay 7.5 over ST. LOUIS. PICK: PACKERS. Favre and the Pack have done real well in this kind of game--they're 10-2 overall vs the spread. And they're hot.
Baltimore 3.5 over MIAMI. PICK: RAVENS. Sorry--I see no indication that anybody should get on the Dolphins' bandwagon (the wheels of which have fallen off).
NEW ENGLAND 21 over NY Jets. PICK: PATRIOTS. I think the Pats' slump is over, and you know they're motivated.
NEW ORLEANS 3.5 over Arizona. PICK: SAINTS. I liked the way Drew Brees played Monday night; meanwhile, the Cards always struggle on the road.
PITTSBURGH 3.5 over Jacksonville. PICK: STEELERS. They're 7-0 at home this year. The Jags are close to being an elite team. But I don't think they're quite there yet.
TAMPA BAY 12.5 over Atlanta. PICK: BUCS. I'm a little hesitant; they're giving a lot of points. But Garcia looks more likely to play, the Bucs are playing for a playoff spot, and Atlanta's D has a lot of holes.
Seattle 7.5 over CAROLINA. PICK: SEAHAWKS. Because now it looks like Vinny Testaverde won't play, meaning the unknown Matt Moore will start for the Panthers. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have Matt Hasselbeck.
Indianapolis 10 over OAKLAND. PICK: COLTS. They're getting healthy. Oakland is improving, but the Colts to pull away in the 2nd half.
DALLAS 10 over Philadelphia. PICK: COWBOYS. They have more motivation, and they tend to play well--and score--at home. The Eagles meanwhile have lost 3 in a row and are out of the playoffs.
SAN DIEGO 10 over Detroit. PICK: CHARGERS. The Lions surprised me last week, but they really don't do well against the spread on the road. The Chargers are improving.
NY GIANTS 4.5 over Washington. PICK: GIANTS. It's kind of asking a lot to expect Todd Collins to do it again; the Giants will get pressure on him.
MINNESOTA 10 over Chicago. PICK: VIKINGS. They're hot; and I can't see Kyle Orton getting all that much done, especially since it's unlikely the Bears will be able to establish a run game. Meanwhile, look for Adrian Peterson to get something done.
