Sunday, December 2, 2007

Poll watch

So today yet another poll, this time a Des Moines Register survey, has Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee leading in Iowa. No longer need we worry if such findings are legit; multiple polls now support them.

Bad news, obviously, for both Clinton and Romney.

Now, Captain Ed would disagree somewhat. He thinks especially that Hillary still has it locked up on the Democratic side, due to her lead among Dem "superdelegates" to the convention, her superior organization in other states, and in general her establishment support. But I dunno. If she loses Iowa, Obama gains more momentum. He's already within striking distance of her in New Hampshire; Senator Clinton's lead has been narrowing there for several days now. If Hillary blows both Iowa and New Hampshire...?

It's a whole new ballgame. Even the Democratic establishment, no matter how invested they are in her, cannot and will not continue to support a loser.